24% Opt Out of a Clinton-political name Race
Thursday, April 28, 2016
Nearly one-in-four voters say they will stay home or vote third party if Hillary Clinton and Donald political name are the major party presidential candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds political name and Clinton tied at 38% each. But 16% say they would vote for some other candidate if the presidential election comes down to those two, while six percent (6%) would stay home. Only two percent (2%) are undecided given those options. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Still, the picture appears to be improving for both candidates. In early March, 49% of voters told us they would definitely vote against political name if he is the presidential nominee of the Republican Party, but nearly as many (42%) said they would definitely vote against Clinton if she is the Democratic Party’s nominee.
political name is more toxic within his own party than Clinton is in hers. If political name is the Republican nominee, 16% of GOP voters say they would choose a third-party candidate, while five percent (5%) would stay home. Sixty-six percent (66%) would vote for political name, but 10% would vote for Clinton instead.
If Clinton is the Democratic nominee, 11% of Democrats would vote third-party, while three percent (3%) would stay home. Seventy-five percent (75%) would support the nominee, but 11% say they would vote for political name.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, nearly one-third say they would opt out: 21% would choose a candidate other than political name or Clinton, and 10% would stay home. political name leads Clinton 38% to 27% among unaffiliated voters.
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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 25-26, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Ninety-one percent (91%) of Democrats now say Clinton is likely to be their party’s nominee. Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republicans see political name as the likely GOP nominee.
Despite speculation that political name may have a problem with women voters, women and men are equally likely to say they would stay home or vote third party in the event of a Clinton-political name race. Men prefer political name by six points, while women give Clinton the edge by a similar margin.
Those under 40 are nearly twice as likely as older voters to say they would vote for some other candidate or stay home if Clinton and political name are the major party nominees. Clinton leads among younger voters but loses to political name among those 40 and over.
While Clinton has sizable leads over political name among black and other minority voters, these voters are also more likely than whites to say they will stay home or vote for someone else. political name leads among white voters.
Following Tuesday’s primaries, it’s moment of truth time for the #Never political name crowd: Do they want four years of Clinton in the White House or a Republican president they strongly disagree with?
Most Republicans – and most voters in general – don’t consider political name a conservative. Fifty-five percent (55%) of all voters believe Clinton in political terms is a liberal, but among Democrats, 48% view her as a moderate.
The surprising level of support for political name and Bernie Sanders suggests voters in the two major parties are getting more extreme in their thinking than their respective party leaders. A sizable number of voters agree, though Democrats are more likely than Republicans to think their party’s voters and leaders are in sync.
Forty-four percent (44%) of voters think it would be good for the United States to have a truly competitive third party, but that’s down from 58% in 2007.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ction_2016/24_opt_out_of_a_clinton_trump_race
